top of page

Best and Worst Weeks for the Stock Market

  • Writer: Silivere Bakomeza
    Silivere Bakomeza
  • Aug 1
  • 3 min read

Most people obsess over timing the market. I built a system that ignores it.


But the question still haunts everyone eventually:


“Is there a best week to invest?”


The short answer is no.

The long answer? It’s complicated and dangerous.


This post walks through the data, exposes the psychological traps, and shows you why timing the week will never beat disciplined behavior.



Why People Obsess Over Timing the Market


Timing feels powerful.

It feels like control.

Like you’re smarter than the crowd.


And in a world where one viral trade can make someone rich overnight, everyone wants the secret calendar.


They Google:


  • Best time to buy stocks

  • Worst days to invest

  • When does the market usually go up


And that’s how they fall into the most seductive trap in investing:


Confusing probability with performance


Yes, some weeks are more positive than others.

Yes, seasonality exists.


But without discipline, even the “best week” can destroy your long-term results.


Let’s look at the data and then rewire the mindset.



The Weekly Pattern Nobody Talks About


Here’s a breakdown of average S&P 500 returns by week number (Week 1 through Week 52), based on historical seasonality and index behavior.


Average S&P 500 Return by Week Number


Bar chart showing average weekly returns of the S&P 500 from Week 1 to Week 52, highlighting strong weeks like Week 1, 17, 47, and 52 in green, and weak weeks like 34 to 36 and Week 39 in red.

Used to demonstrate seasonality awareness without encouraging short-term prediction
This chart reveals how each week of the year has historically performed. But remember, no week beats a consistent system.

Behavioral Standouts:


  • Week 1 (January): Strong optimism and new money flows

  • Week 17 (April earnings season): Historically strong

  • Week 47 (Thanksgiving): Gratitude rally effect

  • Week 52 (late December): Santa Rally continuation



Hidden Red Flags:


  • Weeks 34 to 36 (late August and early September): Low volume and pre-Fed anxiety

  • Week 39 (late September): End-of-quarter rotation

  • Week after FOMC meetings: Volatility and uncertainty


But here’s the real insight most investors miss:


Even the best week cannot save a broken process



Why This Info Is Dangerous Without Discipline


Let’s say Week 17 has an average +1.2 percent return.


That sounds great.

But here’s what really happens:


  • People wait for it

  • They pile in emotionally

  • If it works, they sell too early

  • If it fails, they panic and abandon the plan


It’s not the week that failed.

It’s their lack of a system.


The market rewards behavior, not prediction


Even if you knew all 52 weeks, you would still lose to someone who buys every week for 20 years without emotion.


That’s what I do.



What I Do Instead


I invest every single weekday the market is open.


That’s 252 days per year.

Fifty dollars a day into Strategy (MSTR).

No matter what the headlines say.


And starting in Week 13, I added another layer:


  • One hundred dollars every Monday to cover weekends

  • Fifty-dollar manual buys on holidays

  • Total: 365 days of investing


Because Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

And so does my discipline.


I don’t care what week it is.

I don’t chase green candles.

I don’t flinch at red ones.


My portfolio is built on behavior, not prediction.


If you want to build wealth, forget about Week 17.

Build a streak. Track your consistency.


Start here:


Robinhood - Start your daily investing streak

Acorns - If you want a passive version of this discipline

Webull - If you prefer advanced features


And when BakoSignal is live, it will help you filter signal from noise with real behavior-first conviction.


🧠 Behavior over prediction. Streak over signal. System over stress.



You Might Also Like




Final Takeaway


The worst week to invest is the one you skip.

The best week is the one you show up.

Again. And again. And again.


One week won’t make your fortune.

But one system can.








Comments


Drop questions & comments here!

Thanks for submitting!

© 2023 by Train of Thoughts. Proudly created with Wix.com

bottom of page